Trends and Reversals Report - International Futures Group, Inc.

THE LAWG 647 MODEL

PRESENTS TRENDS AND REVERSALS

For week of

2020-04-12

For the past many years we have relied on our in-house long-term model to help us in identifying the long-term underlying trends, and projecting the weekly closing prices needed to reverse those trends. Like all models, ours is not perfect or always correct but we find that it provides us with valuable information and helps in formulating our trading strategy.

WORD TO THE WISE

Past performance is not indicative of future results. The information contained in this report is intended for informational purposes only and is the opinion of the writer and may change at any time. This information was compiled from sources believed to be reliable but accuracy cannot be and is not guaranteed. There is no warranty, expressed or implied, in regards to this information for any particular purpose. There is SIGNIFICANT RISK involved in trading futures and or options on futures and may not be suitable for all investors. Investors should consider these RISKS and evaluate their suitability based on their financial conditions. No one should ever consider trading futures or options on futures with anything other than RISK CAPITAL. This information is provided freely and is NOTin the capacity of a trading advisor. NO LIABILITY on the part of the author exists for any trading loss you may incur in the use of this information. Information provided is not to be construed as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any commodity or security named herein.

WELCOME TO THE WONDERFUL WORLD OF THE

LAWG647 MODEL (THE MODEL)

All comments are derived from the LAWG647 MODEL

Ladies and gentlemen given recent market action I chose not to publish “Trends and Reversals” for the past several weeks. Given that present market action may be the new normal I will once again distribute the report. Please look for those commodities displaying the *. Those commodities in normal and even abnormal times are way beyond the overstretched point of Positive Equivalency which are usually strong counter trend buy signals. BUT HOW ABNORMAL ARE THESE TIMES AND DO PRESENT LAWG647 VALUES ADEQUTELY REPRESENT THESE ABNORMAL TIMES? If you chose to counter trend trade any of the * commodities I strongly urge a risk management plan be in place in advance.

TRADERS WHAT IS YOUR PROFESSION (POUNDING CHEST IN A MANLY MANNER) AROOO, AROOO, AROOO!

SEE BELOW

COMMODITY	TREND	REVERSES ON A FRIDAY CLOSE AT OR	LAST WEEKLY CLOSE	RSI	RED ALERT STATUS? INCREASED VOLATILITY?	RECOMMENDED COURSE OF ACTION
JULY CORN	LOWER 02/21	Above 392 ¼	336 ¾	31		Closed 0 ChangeFriday to Friday. Negative indicator is above the second standard deviation of the long term average. LOOK FOR LOWER VALUES TO BUY.
JULY SOYBEANS	LOWER 11/22	Above 9080	8710	47		Closed 11 ½ cents higher for the week. Both indicators are within the first standard deviation long term average.
JULY SOYBEAN MEAL	LOWER 04/10	Above 32680	29780	37		Closed 550 lower Friday to Friday. Both indicators are within the first standard deviation long term average. TREND CHANGED LOOK FOR LEVELS TO SELL.
JULY WHEAT	HIGHER 4/10	Below 501 ½	557 ½	58		Closed 12 ½ cents higher for the week. Both the indicators are within the first standard deviation long term average. TREND CHANGED LOOK FOR LEVELS TO BUY

*JUNE CATTLE	LOWER 01/24	Above 11127	8437	39		CLOSED 352POINTS HIGHERFRIDAY TO FRIDAY. NEGATIVE INDICATOR IS THREESTANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE LONG TERM AVERAGE. LOOK FOR LEVELS TO COUNTER TREND BUY. YOUR CALL USE RISK MANAGEMENT.
*JUNE HOGS	LOWER	Above 9977	4837	26		Closed .35 higherFriday to Friday. NEGATIVE INDICATOR IS OVER six STANDARD DEVIATIONS OF THE LONG TERM AVERAGE. LOOK FOR LEVELS TO COUNTER TREND BUY. YOUR CALL USE RISK MANAGEMENT.
*MAY FEEDERS	LOWER 01/24	Above 13957	11895	47		Closed $1085 lowerFriday to Friday. NEGATIVE INDICATOR IS TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE LONG TERM AVERAGE. LOOK FOR LEVELS TO COUNTER TREND BUY. YOUR CALL USE RISK MANAGEMENT.

JUNE GOLD	HIGHER 04/10	Below 157920	175280	66		Closed $107.10 higher Friday to Friday. Positive Indicator is above the first standard deviation of the long term average. Trend turned up look for levels to get long.
MAY SILVER	LOWER 03/06	Above 18091	16053	58		Closed $1.559 higher Friday to Friday. Both the indicators are within the first standard deviation long term average. Solver is nearly complete in rebalancing will look for values to sell.
MAY COPPER	LOWER 01/24	Above 25610	22595	45		Closed .067 centshigher Friday to Friday. Both the indicators are within the first standard deviation long term average. Copper is attempting to rebalance. Will wait for higher levels to sell.

*JUNE CRUDE OIL This market is a holy crapper.	LOWER 01/26	Above 5104	2882	44		Closed 208 lowerFriday to Friday. The Positive and Negative indicators have achieved Dynamic Separation. Under normal times this would be a strong indicator to get long.

MAY COTTON	LOWER 02/28	Above 6814	5437	45		Closed $3.39higher Friday to Friday. THE NEGATIVE INDICATOR ISNOW ABOVE THE FIRSTSTANDARD DEVIATION OFTHE LONG TERM AVERAGE. LOOK FOR LEVELS TO COUNTER TREND BUY?YOUR CALL USE RISK MANAGEMENT.
*MAY COCOA	LOWER 01/10	Above 2904	2311	41		Closed 51 points higher Friday to Friday. THE NEGATIVE INDICATOR IS ABOVE THE FIRST STANDARD DEVIATION OF THE LONG TERM AVERAGE. LOOK FOR LEVELS TO COUNTER TREND BUY?YOUR CALL USE RISK MANAGEMENT.
MAY COFFEE	HIGHER 03/27	Below 10050	11860	53		Closed $3.90 higherFriday to Friday. Both the indicators are within the first standard deviation long term average. Be patient looking for values to buy.
*MAY SUGAR	LOWER 03/06	Above 1469	1043	31		Closed 12 points higher Friday to Friday. NEGATIVE INDICATOR IS FOURSTANDARD DEVIATIONSABOVE THELONG TERM AVERAGE. LOOK FOR LEVELS TO COUNTER TREND BUY?YOUR CALL USE RISK MANAGEMENT.	50-50

MARCH 30 YEAR BONDS	HIGHER 01/17	Below 16121	17827	54		Closed 119 pointslower for the week. THE POSITIVE INDICATOR IS ABOVE THE FIRST STANDARD DEVIATION OF THE LONG TERM AVERAGE. If willing to take risk look for levels to sell.
JUNE E-MINI S&P’S	LOWER 2/28	Above 332550	277975	55		Closed 297 points higher Friday to Friday. Positive Indicator is above the first standard deviation of the long term average. Trying to re-balance, will look for dips to get long.

MARCH U.S. $ INDEX	HIGHER	Below 98201	99504	49	RED ALERT	Closed 1.173 points lower Friday to Friday. Both the indicators are within the first standard deviation long term average.
MARCH CANADIAN $	LOWER 02/07	Above .7517	.71655	50		Closed 95 points higher Friday to Friday. Both the indicators are within the first standard deviation long term average. Will look for rallies to sell.